The Netherlands, in crisis, vote rigor
April 29, 2012 – 11:00 am
From our special correspondent in Amsterdam
The letter from The Hague to Brussels is part-time. Jan Kees de Jager, the Minister of Finance of the Government resigned, succeeded in drafting an austerity plan before the deadline of April 30.
While rating agencies threatened to degrade the Netherlands, one of the last "AAA" in the euro area, it took only 48 hours to reach agreement on an austerity plan estimated at 13 billion euros. A feat that the government had failed to achieve in seven weeks of negotiations behind closed doors, causing the government fell on Monday.
A majority of members ultimately voted the austerity plan rejected by the extreme right. Rule of 3% budget deficit will be met in 2013, avoiding the humiliation the country model to a fine of Brussels 1.2 billion euros.
"The Netherlands can again show themselves on the international scene, Sylvester Eijffinger welcomes economist at the University of Tilburg and member of the Committee on monetary experts of the European Parliament. Negotiated reforms are not only saving measures, but real progress in four key flagship retirement, the health system, labor market and real estate. "
Areas where structural reforms are deemed necessary, but which were taboo in recent months. Geert Wilders, leader of the charismatic far-right party PVV, "had negotiated a veto for many economic issues, in exchange for his support for the government," says Eelke de Jong, an economist at the Radboud University Nijmegen.
"Geert Wilders has transformed the star pupil of the eurozone in dunce!" Wrote Thursday the newspaper De Volkskrant. In fact, the Netherlands have already tarnished the image of a good student of the European class, in 2009, when the government had to rescue its banking sector, deepening debt. The country, which had a budget surplus of 0.5% in 2008, rose to a deficit of 5.6% in 2009. The fiscal consolidation is a government priority since 2010. Last September, the objective was to reduce the deficit to 2 cash advance no faxing.9% in 2012 and 2.5% in 2013. "Economic circumstances have changed significantly," reminiscent of the signatories of the austerity plan.
"Uncle Scrooge of Europe"
The country fell into recession in the second half of 2011. In March, the deficit forecast is reviewed formally at 4.6% of GDP in 2012 as in 2013. This is the beginning of the crisis, whose roots go back to last summer, when the two main drivers of the Dutch economy, consumption and exports, were seized at the same time.
While Germany exports to 40% in the eurozone, the Netherlands and 70% depend on orders from the rest of Europe, making them more vulnerable to the current crisis. Another significant difference with German: Dutch households are highly indebted for their mortgages. Private debt is more than 223% of GDP.
It did not take more to ensure that rating agencies are beginning to question the validity of the "AAA" rating enjoyed by the countries, like Luxembourg, Finland and Germany. "But the fundamentals remain very strong. For decades, the trade balance is in surplus, unlike Greece. The Netherlands is the Scrooge McDuck of Europe. Their net foreign debt does not exceed 36% of GDP, "says Ivo Arnold, a professor at the Erasmus School of Economics in Rotterdam.
The Netherlands does share one thing with Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain: their government fell due to lack of austerity in the short term. Its adoption in extremis, this week seems to end the political crisis. But the economic crisis continues. The Dutch will be asked to decide at the polls on September 12, during the early parliamentary elections.
ALSO READ:
"The Netherlands: the real estate depression consumer confidence
"" The Dutch do not like political Europe "
"The Government of the Netherlands resigns
"The European fiscal pact threatened by Paris and The Hague